Sunday, January 1, 2012

My Predictions For The Iowa Caucus

Here are my predictions for who will win the Iowa Caucus tomorrow:
  1. Mitt Romney
  2. Rick Santorum
  3. Ron Paul
  4. Newt Gingrich 
  5. Rick Perry 
  6. Michelle Bachmann 
  7. Jon Huntsman 
Even if Ron Paul does manage to win Iowa, he will probably get shut out from getting any of the delegates from that state since the Iowa Caucus. 
After Iowa, New Hampshire is the next Republican primary election. I can't see Jon Huntsman and Michelle Bachmann continuing on in the race once they get the results back from New Hampshire. Jon Huntsman has stated that New Hampshire will determine whether he will stay in the race. Michelle Bachmann will probably not be able to continue on after two straight losses. While Iowa is first in the nation, the real election to watch is South Carolina and Florida. Whoever wins these primaries will have a good momentum going into Super Tuesday.
The other thing to watch is the endorsements of those candidates who drop out of the race. I am predicting that Michelle Bachmann and Jon Huntsman will probably endorse Rick Santorum once they withdraw from the candidacy. Ron Paul has stated that he will probably not endorse anyone when he drops out of the race. If Rick Santorum drops out of the race, I predict he will endorse Mitt Romney since he endorsed him in the 2008 Presidential elections. If Newt Gingrich drops out of the race, he will most likely endorse Mitt Romney.

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