Showing posts with label Jon Huntsman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jon Huntsman. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 2, 2013

Mitt Romney Is Not Running In 2016

Mitt Romney appeared at the University of Utah today to meet with students at the University of Utah David Eccles School of Business and stated that he would not be running again in 2016.
Romney also made it clear to the overflow crowd of students, faculty and business leaders gathered to hear his 45-minute speech that he was done running for the White House after two unsuccessful tries.
"I've had two bites at the apple. Three strikes and you're out," he said.
Romney, who received hearty applause after a questioner thanked him for his 2008 and 2012 presidential races, jokingly suggested his wife, Ann, or son Josh — who lives in Utah — would be better candidates next time around.
Before the speech, Romney said he was "feeling bad I'm not in the White House," calling it a "great thrill to run for president" and an honor to have had the support of Utahns.
"The country faces real challenges, which unfortunately are not being addressed in the way I'd hope they'd be. A lot of people are hurting. A lot of people across the country can't find work," he said, including new college graduates.
I knew that Mitt Romney would not be running again in 2016. Its not that I had any inside information but I knew that he just wasn't going to run. I don't think he wants to become like Ralph Nader or Ron Paul who have ran for President in multiple presidential elections. I also think he wants to move on and do other things whether it be in business or politics. 

There are many people (I am not one of them) who want Mitt Romney to run in 2016. There's even a Facebook group called Mitt Romney for President 2016 that has already been set up to promote that idea. Even though I am deeply saddened that Mitt Romney lost and I believe he would have made a great president, he made the right choice not to run again. 

As far as 2016 goes, I would like to see the following people throw their hats into the ring for that Presidential election: Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Robert McDonnell, Scott Walker, Nikki Haley, Susana Martinez, Jan Brewer, Senator Jeff Sessions, Senator Jeff Flake, Senator Kelly Ayotte, former Oklahoma representative J.C. Watts, Former Secretary of State Dr. Condoleezza Rice, Dr. Benjamin Carson, Former U.S. Representative Artur Davis, Former Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell, and Former U.S. Representative Allen West and former Mitt Romney running mate Paul Ryan. 

I also don't want the following people to run in 2016: Senator Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, Ron Paul, Herman Cain, Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Alan Keyes, John Huntsman Jr., and Rick Santorum, Sarah Palin, Mitch Daniels, and Mike Huckabee.
 
Do you think it was right for Mitt Romney to decide not to run in 2016? Who do you think should run in 2016?

Saturday, January 28, 2012

2012: What The GOP Race Looks Like Right Now

When the 2012 campaign first started, there were a lot of Republicans that were thinking about throwing thier hat into the ring. As time went on, the field started to shape up as candidates were announcing that they were either in the race or not.
This is what the 2012 GOP race looks like right now:
Currently Running
Mitt Rommey, former Governor of Massachusetts 
Rick Santorum, former Senator for Pennsylvania 
Newt Gingrich, former Reprsenative of Georgia's 6th district
Ron Paul, current Reprsenative of Texas' 14th district
Buddy Roemer, former Governor of Louisiana 
Fred Karger, Gay Rights activist

Dropped Out 
Tim Pawlenty, former Governor of Minnesota
Gary Johnson, former Governor of New Mexico
Herman Cain, business executive and talk radio show host
Michelle Bachmann, U.S. Representative Minnesota's 6th district
Jon Huntsman, former Governor of Utah and Ambassador to China
Rick Perry, current Governor of Texas 

Decided Not To Run
Donald Trump, real estate magnate
Mike Huckabee, former Arkansas Governor
Haley Barbour, current Governor of Mississippi.
Mitch Daniels, current Indiana Governor
Chris Christie, current New Jersey Governor
Paul Ryan, U.S. Representative for Wisconsin's 1st congressional district
Mike Pence, U.S. Representative for Indiana's 6th district
John Thune,  U.S. Senator, South Dakota
Jim DeMint,  U.S. Senator, South Carolina
Sarah Palin, Former Governor of Alaska
Donald Trump, business executive

Sunday, January 15, 2012

Jon Huntsman To Bow Out And Endorse Mitt Romney Tomorrow

After getting third place in the New Hampshire primaries and struggling to keep his campaign going in South Carolina, Jon Huntsman is finally throwing in the towel and calling its quits: 
Jon M. Huntsman Jr. informed his advisers on Sunday that he intends to drop out of the Republican presidential race, ending his candidacy a week before he had hoped to revive his campaign in the South Carolina primary.
Mr. Huntsman, who had struggled to live up to the soaring expectations of his candidacy, made plans to make an announcement as early as Monday. He had been set to participate in an evening debate in Myrtle Beach.
Matt David, campaign manager to Mr. Huntsman, confirmed the decision in an interview Sunday evening. “The governor and his family, at this point in the race, decided it was time for Republicans to rally around a candidate who could beat Barack Obama and turn around the economy,” Mr. David said. “That candidate is Gov. Mitt Romney.”
Jon Huntsman will make his official announcement tomorrow:
Sources said there is an 11 a.m. endorsement expected tomorrow, followed a few hours later by a scheduled 2 p.m. meeting for all of Huntsman’s staff.
I'm sure this announcement will be a huge relief for Huntsman campaign staff because they wanted Jon to quit after the New Hampshire primary so that they could work for Romney's campaign:
Days after his third place finish in New Hampshire, some Huntsman for President staffers have already left the campaign, while others tell BuzzFeed they wish the former Utah governor would drop out so they could join Mitt Romney’s team.
One top volunteer told BuzzFeed that he was shocked Huntsman didn’t drop out on Tuesday. “I was hoping he would. I don’t want to be disloyal or anything, but he doesn’t have a chance anymore. Once he quits, then I can go work for a winning campaign.”
A current staffer echoed those sentiments, saying Huntsman should have gotten out after New Hampshire to allow those who’ve worked for him to find another job. “We’re not going to quit, but we don’t really want to keep going either.”
Jon Huntsman's endorsement may help Mitt Romney since it might get more liberal republicans, moderates and independents to rally around Romney. It will be interesting to see how his departure will impact the South Carolina primary and whether or not his endorsement will help Mitt on Saturday.

Sunday, January 8, 2012

My Predictions for the New Hampshire Primary

For New Hampshire, it easy to make a prediction about who will win. Mitt Romney will have done what no candidate has done and that is to win Iowa and New Hampshire. No other presidential candidate has ever done that. The tricky part is whether or not he can win South Carolina. That will be the key hurdle for Romney to overcome. For the other candidates, its a little more difficult to predict but I'm gonna try.
Here are my predictions for Tuesday:
  1. Mitt Romney
  2. Rick Santorum
  3. Jon Huntsman
  4. Ron Paul
  5. Newt Gingrich
  6. Rick Perry
I don't see anybody dropping out. Not until all the candidates see how they perform in South Carolina. Jon Huntsman might drop out if actually comes out in 5th or 6th place. He's adopted the same strategy as Rick Santorum did for Iowa by spending lots of time and energy in New Hampshire. If he doesn't place in the top three, I can see him dropping out. But in all likelyhood, he'll hang by his fingernails until the South Carolina primaries. 
Once we get the South Carolina primaries, expect Perry and Huntsman to drop out. Ron Paul isn't the kind of person to drop out even when all indicators suggest he should. Newt Gingrich will move on to Florida with the hopes of damaging Romney in that state. The problem is that he doesn't have the resources or organizational strength to carry on his war on Romney. At some point, he will tap out of the race. Florida will be the last stand for Newt. Rick Santorum will also stay in the race until Florida and go on to battle Romney in Super Tuesday but will ultimately lose.

Saturday, January 7, 2012

Mitt Romney Won The 2012 GOP New Hampshire Debate

For those of you who missed tonight's debate, you didn't miss much. In fact, it was a good thing you didn't watch the debates tonight since Diane Sawyer and George Stephanopoulos, the moderators for the debate, were horrible. Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney both went after the moderators on two separate occasions. 
George Stephanopoulos got ripped by Romney when he asked about whether or not he supports states banning contraception.Watch the clip below: 

George's question is ridiculous for so many reasons. As Mitt Romney pointed out, no state is currently proposing to ban contraception and its not even an issue in this election. It may have been an issue in the 1960s when the United States Supreme Court made its landmark decision upholding individuals having a right to contraceptives in Griswold v. Connecticut but its not an issue in this election. Liberals like George Stephanopoulos thinks its an issue since a few states wanted to pass laws stating that life begins at conception but these laws were aimed at abortion not contraceptives. The audience rightly applauded Mitt Romney for stating how ridiculous the question was and booing George Stephanopoulos for asking the question. 
Newt Gingrich also went after the moderators on the issue of gay marriage explaining that the media ignores the bigotry towards religion when it comes to issues of marriage, adoption and abortion: 
I just want to raise -- since we’ve spent this much time on these issues -- I just want to raise a point about the news media bias. You don’t hear the opposite question asked. Should the Catholic Church be forced to close its adoption services in Massachusetts because it won’t accept gay couples, which is exactly what the state has done? Should the Catholic Church be driven out of providing charitable services in the District of Columbia because it won’t give in to secular bigotry? Should the Catholic Church find itself discriminated against by the Obama administration on key delivery of services because of the bias and the bigotry of the administration?
The bigotry question goes both ways. And there’s a lot more anti-Christian bigotry today than there is concerning the other side. And none of it gets covered by the news media.
The audience loved it. I loved it. He really stood up for all religions who are coerced by our government to provide services it opposes because it contradicts their deeply held religious views. 
You're all probably wondering who I think won tonight's debate. I'll give you the break down:
1. Mitt Romney won the debate hands down. Every news outlet including the post-debate analysis on ABC stated that he won. The reason why he won tonights debate was that most of the candidates didn't attack Romney and when they did, Mitt Romney swatted the attacks away. Mitt Romney began the debates by going after Obama on his failure to create jobs in America. Mitt Romney also gave an exceptional speech about American exceptionalism that sounded very much like the kind of debate speech Ronald Reagan would have given. He also did well in attacking Jon Huntsman over China with regard to trade imbalances, currency manipulation and corporate espionage. 
2. Rick Santorum did a good job tonight but he's in very distant second place. At one point, he tried to attack Romney for using the term "middle class" and called it class warfare rhetoric only to immediately attack wall street after making that comment. Moreover, that attack just came off as desperate and odd to many conservatives in the audience and at home. There were some moments when Rick Santorum did well tonight especially when he talked about how poorly Roe v. Wade was decided and his position on Iran and Afghanistan.  
3. I think tonight was Newt Gingrich's best debate performance. However, it wasn't enough to help him regain old position as a frontrunner in the campaign. The only highlight for me was his defense of traditional marriage and his response about whether or not we should stay in Afghanistan. The worst part for him is when he cited the New York times in his attack on Mitt Romney which is not the newspaper to cite if you're trying to impress a conservative audience. He was also clearly upset with Ron Paul for attacking him on Newt's deferments from the military during the Vietnam war. 
4. This debate was probably Rick Perry's best debate. The best moment for him was when he boldly stated that we should send our troops back into Iraq. I agree with that statement 100%. Rick Perry did a decent job in debating other issues. However, the biggest problem for Rick Perry a lot of people forgot that he was even at the debates until he spoke. That's bad news since Michelle Bachmann had the same problem and eventually dropped out of the race.  
5. Ron Paul was himself as usual. He got asked about his racist newsletters and he dodged the question by saying that Martin Luther King was his hero. However, its worth pointing out that in his own newsletter, they called MLK a philanderer who beat up his paramours and accuses him of seducing underage girls and boys. I also wish to remind people Ron Paul never issued a retraction for any of the racist articles that were published in his names. Yet a few weeks ago, he admitted that he did write in his newsletter but claims that he only wrote about economic issues in his newsletter. Another bad moment for Ron Paul is when he refused to state whether or not he would run a third party candidate in this election. As usual, Ron Paul thinks Iran is not a threat to the security of America or the world community. Ron Paul's only good moment is when he chastised Rick Santorum for interrupting him and going after Newt Gingrich on the issue of his deferments since he ruffled Gingrich's feathers pretty good.  
6. Jon Huntsman has never done well in any debates and I think tonight was his worst performance if you can believe that. Ever position he took was a liberal one whether it was same sex marriage, war or China which won't help him get any votes for Tuesday's New Hampshire Primary election.
Mitt Romney clearly won tonight's debate. Even though Mitt Romney is ahead in New Hampshire by a huge lead, tonight's debate will help him maintain his lead in that state. It will also help him maintain his huge lead in South Carolina. If Mitt Romney keeps up this momentum and wins New Hampshire and South Carolina, he'll wrap up the 2012 nomination early.

Thursday, January 5, 2012

South Carolina: The Anti-Romney Candidates' Last Stand

South Carolina is the 2012 Republican GOP primary to watch this year because its the last chance for the anti-Romney candidates to take down Mitt Romney.  Most of the 2012 candidates (except Jon Huntsman) knows this and they have been developing their campaign strategy based on this fact.  This can be clearly seen with Rick Perry who flew directly to South Carolina and is skipping the New Hampshire Primary.
Each of the of the Anti-Romney candidates also know that after South Carolina, Mitt Romney might very well be unstoppable if he wins that state's primary.  Moreover, they also know that South Carolina will be the state where more candidates will withdraw from the 2012 race. I am predicting that Jon Huntsman and Rick Perry will drop out of the race. I am also predicting that Newt Gingrich just to continue his revenge on Mitt Romney.  However, if he drops out after South Carolina, I won't be surprised. 
The anti-Romney crowd will have a hard time defeating Mitt Romney in South Carolina. 
Rick Perry is currently doing poorly in the polls and has failed to gain traction after his performance in the Republican debates early in the campaign season. 
Like Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich is also not polling well in South Carolina. He also has a very weak campaign organization structure and is still struggling financially. It will be difficult for him to find the resources he needs to win that state.  
Rick Santorum may also have difficulty in South Carolina since he has supported measures that helped Unions in that state and opposed Jim DeMint during the 2010 midterm election. Moreover, Rick Santorum faces several ethical questions about using his position in Congress to benefit himself and others. Finally, Rick Santorum endorsed Mitt Romney during the 2008 election and it will be difficult for him to really go after Mitt Romney. In fact, ever since the GOP 2012 election started, Santorum hasn't gone after Mitt Romney at all.
Despite the fact that Ron Paul enjoys support of loyal supporters, they are not enough to help him win the state. Moreover, nobody wants to vote for a candidate who endorsed the socialist Cynthia McKinney during the  2008 Presidential election and who cannot see himself being in the White House.
All these candidates will have an uphill battle against Mitt Romney. Mitt Romney is currently up about 10 points in South Carolina. Mitt Romney also has been endorsed by South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley. Getting her endorsement was a big win for Mitt Romney since earlier this year, she declined to give her endorsement until she got to know each of the candidates better. Now, she has predicted that Mitt Romney will win the South Carolina primaries and will join Mitt Romney's campaign. I highly recommend reading her op-ed explaining why she is endorsing Mitt Romney. 
Each of the anti-Romney candidates know they can't stop Romney in New Hampshire. They will try to stop Mitt in South Carolina but they will fail. Even if they do prevent Mitt Romney in South Carolina, they still won't be able to stop him when Super Tuesday rolls around. 
Try as these candidates might, Mitt Romney will be the Republican 2012 nominee who will boot Obama from the White House and become the next President of the United States.

Tuesday, January 3, 2012

Reflecting On Tonight's Iowa Caucus

The most amazing thing about the Iowa Caucus is that Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney,  who were initially  not expected to win Iowa, are running neck and neck right now. There are reports that Romney votes are possibly undercounted for Romney in 2 precincts.
Regardless if Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum take first place at the Iowa polls, their success tonight was impressive. Santorum was trailing in the polls badly until the very last minute when all the other candidates had experienced a parabolic rise and fall in support. Mitt Romney wasn't planning on even setting foot in Iowa and then got into the game very late and managed to get perform very well tonight. I cannot substantiate this claim but think Mitt's performance in the Iowa Caucus was better in 2012 than it was four years ago in 2008. 
Although anything can still go on from now until the primary season is over, I think you will see that this race will be a competition between Romney and Santorum from now on. 
I previously thought it would be a race between Newt and Romney but I no longer believe this. Gingrich has vowed to go after Mitt Romney since Romney did a great job neutralizing Newt before the Iowa Primaries. Gingrich has been bitching about how effective Romney's SuperPac was in running ads against him yet he makes no complaint about Ron Paul's attack ads against him. Regardless, Newt Gingrich's own SuperPac is set to go on the attack on Mitt Romney.  As a result, I think Newt knows he will never be in the front runner position again and is now dedicated to hurting Mitt Romney as much as he can before he is forced to withdraw from the campaign.
Other candidates will try to rise to the top again but I doubt it lightning will strike twice for them. They will be stuck in the second or third tier status until they drop out. Rick Perry announced tonight that he will be reassessing his campaign which could mean anything from another shake up in his staff to resigning from the race. However, I think Rick Perry will probably stay in the race and see what happens in the South Carolina primary. Sarah Palin has suggested that Michelle Bachmann drop out and endorse someone else. Jon Huntsman virtually ignored the Iowa caucuses and is putting all of his energies into winning the New Hampshire primary. I find this odd since he knows he will get clobbered in New Hampshire and will either resign or limp on towards South Carolina. 
South Carolina is THE primary to watch this year. All the second and third tier candidates will be making that state their last stand. After South Carolina, I expect everyone to drop out except Mitt, Santorum and Ron Paul.  

Sunday, January 1, 2012

My Predictions For The Iowa Caucus

Here are my predictions for who will win the Iowa Caucus tomorrow:
  1. Mitt Romney
  2. Rick Santorum
  3. Ron Paul
  4. Newt Gingrich 
  5. Rick Perry 
  6. Michelle Bachmann 
  7. Jon Huntsman 
Even if Ron Paul does manage to win Iowa, he will probably get shut out from getting any of the delegates from that state since the Iowa Caucus. 
After Iowa, New Hampshire is the next Republican primary election. I can't see Jon Huntsman and Michelle Bachmann continuing on in the race once they get the results back from New Hampshire. Jon Huntsman has stated that New Hampshire will determine whether he will stay in the race. Michelle Bachmann will probably not be able to continue on after two straight losses. While Iowa is first in the nation, the real election to watch is South Carolina and Florida. Whoever wins these primaries will have a good momentum going into Super Tuesday.
The other thing to watch is the endorsements of those candidates who drop out of the race. I am predicting that Michelle Bachmann and Jon Huntsman will probably endorse Rick Santorum once they withdraw from the candidacy. Ron Paul has stated that he will probably not endorse anyone when he drops out of the race. If Rick Santorum drops out of the race, I predict he will endorse Mitt Romney since he endorsed him in the 2008 Presidential elections. If Newt Gingrich drops out of the race, he will most likely endorse Mitt Romney.

John Huntsman's New Ad: The Ron Paul Chronicles

Jon Huntsman has released an attack ad on Ron Paul which demonstrates why Ron Paul cannot and should not be allowed to win any primary win the Republican nomination or become President of the United States. 
But the ads also serve to remind us that Ron Paul would get slaughtered by President Obama if he actually succesdes in getting the Republican nomination because the attack ads on Ron Paul are so easy to create and require no trickery, editing or manipulation. The attack ads litterally write themselves. Watch Jon Huntsman's new ad below: 

Monday, October 10, 2011

Michael Medved Discusses Pastor Robert Jeffress' "Mormons Are A Cult" Comments

Micheal Medved, a well known Jewish radio talk show host, gives a well thought out explanation why Robert Jeffress' comment that Mormons are a cult is wrong. Listen to the YouTube clip below: 


Friday, August 5, 2011

Democratic Insiders Are Afraid of Mitt Romney And See Him As The Biggest Threat in 2012

National Journal polled Democratic Insiders and found them to be increasingly afraid of Mitt Romney: 
Just two months ago, Democratic Insiders also saw Romney as the lead GOP challenger for Obama to overcome, but today, they sound like that hurdle is considerably higher. "He is the best counter to Obama," said one Democratic Insider of the former Massachusetts governor. "He is an executive while Obama was a legislator. Romney ran a company--Obama never made a payroll. Romney created jobs--unemployment is 9 percent-plus under Obama." Echoed another, "Strong business background in a bad economy is a plus for him, as is the Massachusetts health care plan in a general election." Added a third: "He forces Obama to defend the Democratic base states, and will be able to talk about the economy better than any other Republican."
Democrats also thought Romney had gained experience from his unsuccessful run for the 2008 GOP presidential nomination and that he could win over swing voters, unlike some of his Republican rivals. "Has run before, looks presidential and unlike others not a total turn off to Dems and independents," observed a Democratic Insider. "He's got economic credibility, he seems smart, he has a bit of polish and he doesn't seem like a complete loon," said another Democrat. "None of the others have that whole package."
The Democrats are completely justified in being afraid of Mitt Romney. He does have all the skills and qualifications that Obama clearly lacks. Moreover, as the economy continues to slump downwards, the need for a skillful, competent and qualified leader with plenty of experience in both the public and private sector will continue to skyrocket.
As a side note, its interesting that Democrats are afraid of another Mormon who is also running for President.:
While they doubt he can get nomination, Democratic Insiders think Jon Huntsman, the former two-term Utah governor, would be a formidable opponent for Obama. "Huntsman has no chance of winning the GOP primary, maybe one percent," said a Democratic Insider. "But if he did, he is the one Republican I would be scared of. He is moderate, reasonable, and a D.C. outsider. Right now, if you are Obama '12, you have to be thanking your lucky stars for the deeply flawed Republican candidates." Echoed another GOP Insider, "He doesn't seem to be well-positioned to actually get the nomination, mind you, but if he did, he has the tone and acceptability to provide disenchanted voters a palatable alternative."
Jon Hunstman has zero chances of being reelected. Not only that, but Mitt Romney is much better candidate that his LDS competitior. Moreover, he has stronger chance of defeating Obama than Huntsman does. 
While Democrats are scared of Huntsman, they're more afraid of Romney. And that's a good thing.

Sunday, June 5, 2011

John Huntsman Skipping Iowa

Jon Huntsman says that he will not particpate in the Iowa primaries next year because he doesn't support ethanol subsidies:
"I'm not competing in Iowa for a reason. I don't believe in subsidies that prop up corn, soybeans" and ethanol, he said.

The ex-governor of Utah and former U.S. ambassador to China said subsidies "distort the global marketplace" and lead to food inflation.

"We will be competing vigorously here, in South Carolina and Florida," Huntsman told a small gathering of Republicans at the North Conway Grand Hotel. "I probably won't be spending a lot of time in Iowa. I understand how the politics work there."

Iowa would have been a challenge for Huntsman, who is viewed with suspicion by some conservatives because of past support for policies relating to climate change, immigration and civil unions. Also, Huntsman, like former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, is a Mormon, and some of the evangelical voters who dominate the Iowa GOP caucuses were skeptical of Romney's 2008 bid in part because of his religious beliefs.

Huntsman demurred when asked whether his religion played a role in his decision to forgo Iowa. "I think it's more a function of our deployable troops and resources … and how those are best allocated and appropriated," he said during an interview.
To be honest, Jon Huntsman's excuse is lame.Avoiding a state just because some people in Iowa like federal subsidies is not a good enough excuse not to compete there.
Tim Pawlenty, who used to support ethanol subsidies, went to Iowa and began the first speech of his campaign talking about about his opposition to ethanol subsidies will participate in Iowa's primaries. Mitt Romney, who has consistently supported ethanol subsidies, will also be competing in Iowa as well. 
I also don't buy the fact that John Huntsman's religion is a good enough reason not to compete there either. Mitt Romney will be competing in Iowa even though he is of the same faith as John Huntsman. Although some people will not vote on account of a candidate's faith, it is not a sufficient reason to abandon a state. Many people thought Mitt Romney would not be campaiginig in that state for that same reason but he's going to compete there despite what people think of his religion. 
I think the real reason why John Huntsman is avoiding Iowa like the plague is because he worked for the Obama administration. Some Iowans may not like Mitt Romney or John Huntsman's faith. Some people will be unhappy with his opposition to ethanol subsidies. Some people may not like RomneyCare. But there is one thing that all Iowans do not like and that is people who are associated with the Obama administration in anyway, shape or form. 
Jon Huntsman may be able to avoid Iowa, but he cannot avoid his ties with the Obama administration. No matter what state he campaigns in, he's going to find that there are alot of angry people out there. Angry enough to hand the Democrats a historic defeat in the midterm elections. They're are angry enough to take it out on anyone associated with Obama even if they were just an ambassador to China. 

Thursday, May 5, 2011

John Hunstman In For 2012

After much speculation, Jon Hunstman has announced that he will be forming a political action committee for the 2012 Presidential Election:
Moving swiftly since his return to Washington from Beijing Friday, Huntsman filed paperwork with the Federal Election Committee to begin “H PAC.” In the event he runs, the organization will be the last placeholder before he announces a full-blown campaign.
“This is a paperwork step,” said spokesman Tim Miller. “He’s doing the organizational things required by campaign finance law. When he wants to make an announcement he will make an announcement.” 
The creation of the political action committee is another strong piece of evidence that John Huntsman will run in 2012. He's already starting to portray himself as a young, hip, cool Republican in attempt to win the support of voters under 40
Through calculated press leaks—like last week's motorcycle photos and Politico's profile of the ambassador's "rock 'n' roll years"—supporters appear to be laying the foundation for a new, potentially risky Huntsman brand: the only cool Republican candidate.
If this is indeed the strategy, it would hew to the philosophy of John Weaver, a veteran Republican strategist and avid Huntsman supporter who worked on Sen. John McCain’s 2008 campaign before quitting. Weaver speaks often and ominously about a “ticking demographic time bomb” that’s working against the GOP.
"There's a cultural buffer between people over 40 and people under 40," Weaver told me last year. "We are driving young people away from the party."
Huntsman himself has argued in the past that building a Republican candidate who plays well to that under-40 crowd will likely require a decisive departure from some party dogma. The candidate will have to embrace environmental issues, for instance, and tack to the center on gay rights—both areas where Huntsman has demonstrated moderation.
The strategy of making a political candidate look cool and hip isn't new. Bill Clinton and Barak Obama have both used that strategy with successful results. I don't recall any Republican Presidential candidate ever attempting to use this tatic to win the White House. Jon Huntsman's team thinks that this strategy will work:
And when all those "unguarded" details about Huntsman's youth are strung together, a personal narrative emerges that may be familiar to the so-called millennial generation. As a teenager, Huntsman dropped out of high school to focus on playing keyboard in his band, Wizard. He and his friends split time between practicing in a converted radio station in Salt Lake City, riding around in a Scooby Doo van, and dining at a grubby local restaurant called Bill and Neda's.
Such youthful aimlessness has become a defining characteristic of the modern twentysomething wandering through the American recession. And while Huntsman eventually completed high school and graduated from the University of Pennsylvania, his story stands in stark contrast with the well-bred, ambitious youth of Republicans like Romney.
The strategy may work or it may not work. While he's working to get the youth vote, the older voters may not be excited about him. For example,  he was a Republican who worked for the Obama Administration as an ambassador to China and wrote letters of adoration to his boss:
August 16, 2009
Dear Mr. President,
I am most grateful for the graciousness and kindness you have shown me and my family – particularly your confidence in my ability to represent you in China. Mary Kaye and I will begin our journey tomorrow – leaving behind a state we love – but also anticipating an extraordinary experience in Beijing. You are a remarkable leader – and it has been a great honor getting to know you.
Jon
While some people think his work with the Obama Adminstration will hurt him, others think it will help him
In a way and by an irony, in fact, the Obama administration may have done the ambassador a huge favor. Far from sidelining him, his China posting has given him the sort of foreign-policy credentials about which every governor who wants to be president fantasizes on a daily basis. The administration has put him on the front lines of what is arguably the most important economic and national-security challenge that the country faces and, in the process, put him in direct touch with the CEOs of some of the biggest and most powerful companies in the country—all of whom make it a point to meet with Huntsman when they are in Beijing, and many of whom are said to have come away deeply impressed. And in a moment in America when anxiety over the long-term threat that China poses to our prosperity is running high, Huntsman is ideally positioned to capitalize on that emotion politically by presenting himself as the man who understands the nature of the challenge and what to do about it best.
Even if Jon Hunstman can overcome the complaints from the older voters that he has worked for Obama, there are other reasons why older conservatives may not like him is because he's very liberal on many issues such as gay marriage, cap and trade and the environment.
Despite these facts, it appears that the Huntsman is ready to go full steam ahead if the former governor of Utah decides to run.
Another challenge for the former govenor of Utah is Mitt Romney. Although they are both Mormon, they appear to be rivals ever since the 2002 Winter Olympics in Utah:
It first flared when Romney was tapped to take over the 2002 Salt Lake City Olympics — a position that Huntsman's father, a powerful chemical magnate, was pushing for his son. It surfaced again before the 2008 presidential race, when Huntsman abandoned his support for Romney to campaign for rival John McCain.
The fact that John Huntsman and Mitt Romney are both members of the LDS Church will come up as  an issue in the election. However, both men have different approaches in how they plan to explain their faith to the American voter.
"There are just some people for whom it will not be settled," Romney recently told the Boston Globe. "That's just the nature of who we are as a people. A lot of people have differing views."
Huntsman, seen as a less-likely candidate after his appointment by Democratic President Barack Obama last year, appears to be taking a different tack.
In a recent Fortune magazine interview that appeared on CNNMoney.com, his Mormon credentials were described as "soft," unlike his more devout family. His father, Jon Huntsman Sr., is an Area Seventy in the LDS Church.
The former governor noted in the interview that his children attend Catholic schools, and his adopted daughters come from different religious cultures, one Buddhist, the other Hindu.
"I can't say I am overly religious," Huntsman is quoted as saying in the interview, which refers to his consideration of a 2012 run. "I get satisfaction from many different types of religions and philosophies."
One final challenge for Jon Huntsman will be that he will have a hard time raising money for his campaign since he doesn't have enough cash on his own to finance the race and any big name donors have probably made their financial commitments to other candidates.