Tuesday, March 13, 2012

The Beta Male Candidate Complains About Fox News Being In The Tank For Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum is doing what he does best by complaining and whining. He's complained during the debates about not getting enough attention from the moderators. He whined about the negative ads that Romney campaign aimed his way. He also pouted over a supposed Romney/Paul tag team who were plotting against him.
Today, Santorum made news by whining about something new. He has accused Fox News of being in the tank for Mitt Romney which is ironic since he was whining on the program of a Fox News radio channel.
 Listen to the clip below: 

This doesn't help Rick Santorum at all. If he can't beat Romney in the primary election, especially when it comes to getting positive media coverage, then it reveals he's not ready to take on Obama for a few reasons. Lets review those reasons below: 
  1. Leaders don't whine when they're losing or are behind in the race. They roll up their sleeves and fight harder. 
  2. Leaders don't complain about their competitors and the advantages they have. Again, they just roll up their sleeves and fight harder or smarter.
  3. Rick Santorum complains about Fox News focusing on the delegate count. The reason why all news outlets, not just Fox News, look at the delegates is because that's how candidates win their party's nomination. With Rick Santorum crying about the news focusing on the delegate count, its an admission that he can't win and that's not attractive to the voters.
  4. The media already are in the tank for Obama and if Rick Santorum miraculously becomes the nominee, he's going to have to deal with that. I mean, who do you think MSMBC, CNN, ABC, CBS, PBS will be shilling for?
  5. Complaining about the media isn't going to help Rick Santorum in the general election. Whining about Romney isn't helping him now either.
  6. If Rick Santorum miraculously becomes President, the media isn't going to be friendly to him. Complaining about the media isn't going to help him in the White House. Once again, bitching about the media won't make him look like the leader he wants to be. 
Its becoming increasingly clear that Rick Santorum wants to be the Beta Male in Chief and he’s got the sweater fit that profile. The more Rick Santorum complains about the things that are unfair, the less he looks like a leader. In fact, he's consistently demonstrated that he's failed in the leadership department. 
Voters in the primary and general election know that people who complain and whine are not leaders.

Monday, March 12, 2012

Mitt Romney Could Win Alabama and Mississippi

There has been alot of talk of the possibility of Mitt Romney winning in both Alabama and Mississippi. Recent polls show that he's  ahead in Alabama and Misssippi. If he wins one or both states, Romney will destroy the myth that he can't win in the South:
If Romney were to win either Mississippi or Alabama -- and the polls show he is competitive in both -- he would kill the idea that he can't win in the South. The region is the rock-solid base of the Republican Party, and so far, the former Massachusetts governor has not shown strength here. Yes, he won Virginia, but Romney and Ron Paul were the only candidates on the ballot. And yes, he won in Florida, but most political analysts don't really consider Florida Southern anymore. And besides, Barack Obama won both states in 2008.

In addition, Romney has already lost contests in South Carolina, Georgia and Tennessee. Adding Alabama and Mississippi to his list of losses would cement the narrative that he can't win in the South.

But winning either one -- squeaker, blowout, it doesn't matter -- would put that narrative to rest. "If he could win one, I think it would say he is a national candidate that people could embrace in the South," says Clemson University political scientist David Woodard, author of The New Southern Politics. "It would show that he has some appeal to Southerners that he didn't have earlier."
There's one demographic that might help Mitt Romney win Mississippi Alabama. Its the Catholic voter. In  Michigan and Ohio, Catholics voted for the Mormon candidate rather support than the Catholic candidate in both. states. But then again, Rick Santorum has always performed lower among Catholics than Protestants. 
Catholics in the South may not want to support Rick Santorum because he criticized J.F.K's famous address that he gave to the Greater Houston Ministerial Association, a group of Protestant ministers, about the role of his faith will play in his bid to become President. J.F.K was a trail blazer who made it possible and acceptable for other Catholic politicians to run for President and Rick Santorum fails to appreciate given the fact that in the early period of American history, many states passed religiously bigoted laws simply because the majority of Americans at that time believed that Catholics were not Christians
Rick Santorum may have recently hurt himself in the South when a Florida pastor named Reverend O'Neal Dozier, who has endorsed Rick Santorum, wanted to ask Mitt Romney "to openly renounce his racist Mormon Religion." The troubling thing about this controversy is that it undermines Rick Santorum's claim that he is a strong defender of religious liberty.
In contrast, Mitt Romney has a very long history of defending religious liberty while working as governor of Massachusetts. For example, in 2005, Romney actually vetoed a bill that would have forced Massachusetts hospitals to offer abortive contraception. He also defended Catholic Charities in Massachusetts who being forced to compromise their religions principles in matters of adoptions by filling a bill to protect religious liberty called the An Act Protecting Religious Freedom. As a result of his defense of religious liberty in Massachusetts,  the Becket Fund for Religious Liberty awarded him its prestigious Canterbury Medal in 2008. In January 2012, Five former U.S. ambassadors to the Vatican endorsed Mitt Romney which is significant since they didn't endorse the Catholic candidate, Rick Santorum.
There are two things that Southerners care about: getting rid of Obama and preserving religious liberty. Mitt Romney is the man who can do both since he's the best candidate to beat Obama in the general election and has been a strong defender of all religious faiths including the Catholic faith.

Reverend O'Neal Dozier To Ask Mitt Romney To Renounce His Faith

Recently, a Florida pastor named Reverend O'Neal Dozier, who has endorsed Rick Santorum, will be holding a press conference to ask Mitt Romney "to openly renounce his racist Mormon Religion."
Mitt Romney is the wrong person to go after with regards to allegations of racism within the LDS Church because his father, George Romney, was a life long advocate of civil rights for blacks in America. During the 1968 Presidential election, he ran on a platform of racial equality. When Nixon became President in 1960, he invited George Romney to become the Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and he served in that position from 1969 to 1973. While working in the Nixon Administration, George Romney was the Secretary of HUD and advocated for better living conditions for African-Americans even when Richard Nixon opposed the idea.  
You can view some pictures of George Romney advocating for equality for Blacks below: 
Along with NAACP, Gov. George Romney leads demonstration against housing discrimination in 1963.
President Richard Nixon & George Romney
More than 100 angry white protesters balked at efforts by then-Housing Secretary George Romney, in car, to open their new neighborhoods to blacks.
As for Mitt Romney's faith, the LDS Church is not a racist religion. Its important to understand the history of the Mormon Church and the statements made by early LDS Church leaders with regards to the issue of Blacks and the Priesthood and the Book of Mormon. In 1971, The LDS Church created the Genesis Group which created a place where Black LDS could associate and enjoy one another. Recently, the LDS Church published a press release stating that they do not tolerate racism in any form in the Church:
The Church’s position is clear—we believe all people are God’s children and are equal in His eyes and in the Church. We do not tolerate racism in any form.
For a time in the Church there was a restriction on the priesthood for male members of African descent.  It is not known precisely why, how, or when this restriction began in the Church but what is clear is that it ended decades ago. Some have attempted to explain the reason for this restriction but these attempts should be viewed as speculation and opinion, not doctrine. The Church is not bound by speculation or opinions given with limited understanding.
We condemn racism, including any and all past racism by individuals both inside and outside the Church.

Sunday, March 11, 2012

Mitt Romney Will Win The Republican Nomination

With Mitt Romney's recent victories over the last week, its becoming increasingly clear that he will be the eventual nominee. With his string of victories on Super Tuesday and winning every primary except Kansas on Saturday. He has also done well and will continue to do well in the U.S. Territories. Mitt Romney may have a new string of victories in the elections ahead since he's now ahead in Illinois, Alabama and Misssippi. He's also ahead of Santorum nationally by 13 points
With Mitt Romney getting as many delegates as he can while Santorum, Gingrich and Paul are too far behind to catch up in getting the 1,144 delegates, many people are starting to see that Mitt Romney will win the Republican nomination. Here is Eric Cantor predicting that Mitt Romney will be the Republican nominee in 2012:

The famous pollster Frank Lunts tells Fox News that Mitt Romney will win the Republican nomination:

Finally, here's Glenn Beck and Matt Kibbe talking about how Mitt Romney will be the Republican nominee:


Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Super Chooseday: Voters Pick Mitt Romney

No matter how you look at what happened last night,  Mitt Romney had a spectacular night last night. He won 6 out of the ten states up for grabs last night: Massachusetts, Vermont, Virginia, Alaska, Idaho and Ohio. Rick Santorum only won three states last night:  North Dakota, Oklahoma and Tennessee. Newt Gingrich only won his home state of Georgia. Ron Paul did not win any states.
Mitt Romney's Super Tuesday Success
There are a few significant points in Mitt Romney's victory that is worth mentioning.
Last week, the media created a narrative that Mitt Romney had to win his homes state of Michigan or else his campaign was doomed. Rick Santorum had a double digit lead over Mitt Romney before his lead evaporated and Romney snatched defeat away from Santorum.  The media created the same drama over in Ohio in which Mitt Romney had the win that state or else it would be bad news for Mitt Romney. Once again, Santorum had a significant lead almost won that state until the very last minute when Romney snatched victory away from Rick Santorum. 
There's one more similarity between Michigan and Ohio. In both states, Democrats tried to interfere with the Republican primary system by voting for Rick Santorum. From what I understand, 5 percent of those turning out for the Republican contest identified themselves as Democrats. These Democratic voters overwhelmingly supported Santorum over Romney 47 percent to 27 percent. If these Democratic voters had not cast ballots in the Republican primary, Romney would have won Ohio by roughly a 3-point margin.
An even more embarrassing similarity between Michigan and Ohio is that Catholics voted for the Mormon candidate than the Catholic candidate in both Michigan and Ohio. But then again, Rick Santorum has always performed lower among Catholics than Protestants.
Its also important to note that Mitt Romney won Massachusetts. This is important because the citizens voted for the former governor who gave them RomneyCare." Numerous polls taken in Massachusetts show that the citizens of that state like RomneyCare and Mitt's victory is just the latest proof of its popularity.
Mitt Romney not only did well in winning 6 out of the 10 states last night, but he did extremely well in amassing the delegates he needs to win the Republican nomination. 
Its All About The Delegates
Mitt Romney also racked up a lot of delegates on Super Tuesday. 419 delegates up were for grabs and he won a majority of all delegates available last night:
Romney won at least 212 Super Tuesday delegates and Santorum won at least 84. Gingrich won at least 72 delegates and Texas Rep. Ron Paul got at least 22.
So far, Romney is winning 54 percent of the Super Tuesday delegates; Santorum is winning 22 percent.
Given that it takes 1,144 delegates to win the Republican nomination, Mitt Romney is in the lead by a huge margin in which he possesses 415 delegates. That number includes endorsements tallied by the Associated Press from members of the Republican Party who can support any candidate. Rick Santorum is in second place with 176 delegates while Newt Gingrich has 105, and Ron Paul has 47. Its worth noting that for some reason MSNBC is reporting that Mitt Romney has won 327 delegates last night. 
If you want to see how well Mitt Romney did in picking up delegates, look at the number of delegates he had before Super Tuesday and how many he got afterwards: 
Due to the organizational incompetence of Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum, they freely gave away Virginia's 46 delegates to Mitt Romney because both candidates failed to qualify for the ballot.  
Rick Santorum hurt himself last night because lost the chance at picking up another 18 delegates in Ohio, because he failed to file full delegate slates as a result of his organizational incompetence.
Even though Mitt Romney lost in Georgia in which it offered the largest prize of 76 delegates, he might be winning a larger share of the delegates than Newt Gingrich according to MSNBC:
Casual followers of politics might assume that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, for example, won most of the 76 delegates Tuesday night in his home state, Georgia — and he would have under the winner-take-all system. But the Republican National Committee has tried to steer the state parties toward district allocations that more accurately reflect the popular vote.
The upshot is that even though Gingrich won Georgia, according to NBC News' projection Tuesday night, he could end up with fewer than half its delegates. Romney, meanwhile — despite finishing second or third — could come away with a quarter of them or more.
Conclusion
Despite whatever you hear on the news about Super Tuesday, the Republican Primary isn't about who has won the most states. It has always been about the delegates. Moreover, We're past the "momentum" and "narrative" phase of the race. It really does matter who's getting the most delegate and that is all that matters in this election. More importantly, Mitt Romney is ahead in the delegate count. That matters because Mitt Romney is less than half way to collecting 1,114 delegates needed to win the Republican nomination.
Ever since Mitt Romney dropped out of the race in 2008 and then entered the 2012 Presidential race, its been clear that he's been super focused on winning those delegates. Some people say that Mitt Romney studied how Obama won the 2008 Democratic primary and is following Obama's playbook.  Others believe that Romney path to the Republican nomination is similar to Michael Dukakis primary path to the Democratic nomination in 1988. However, it doesn't really how Mitt travels down the path to the nomination, what matters is that Mitt has the ability to cross the finish line while Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul can't.
The media has tried to spin Santorum's Super Tuesday night as being a positive thing for him. It isn't. He may have won three states but it was a Phyrric victory since he did poorly in gathering the delegates he needs. As I explained above, his organizational incompetence and poor leadership skills allowed Mitt Romney to free and uncontested delegates from Virginia and he didn't get as many delegates as he could have in Ohio. That has serious implications for voters in later primary elections who are looking for someone who knows how to lead. The other long lasting consequence is that it makes it difficult, not easier, for Santorum to get the necessary delegates he needs to win the Republican nomination.
Newt Gingrich is trying to portray himself as making a third comeback in this race after winning Georgia. However, Newt has even greater uphill climb than Rick Santorum does in getting the delegates he needs to win the Republican nomination. Having Rick Santorum in the race doesn't make it any easier for him to catch up on getting those delegates either. But then again, having Newt Gingrich in the race doesn't help Rick Santorum either. However, both men are determined not drop out of the race and the time will soon come when both men will need a miracle to win the nomination. However, the only miracle that would help them is if Mitt Romney drops out of the race but that isn't going to happen.
As for Ron Paul, Super Tuesday was a disaster for him. He's admitted that he isn't in the race to become President but that he's in the race for the sole purpose of amassing enough delegates so that he can use his delegates as a way of getting the Republican party to adopt his libertarian views on foreign policy, economics and other issues. Recently, Ron Paul admitted on Fox News that he doesn't want the power of being the President but to have the power to influence our nation on matters he considers important. However, if that is his goal, Ron Paul is failing miserably since he only has 47 delegates right now. By the time the GOP convention rolls around, the amount of Delegates Ron Paul won't have enough delegates to manipulate the Republican party into accepting his views on the national platform.
While many conservative and liberal bloggers and journalist are trying to put a negative spin on Mitt Romney's Super Tuesday victories, its clear that whatever weaknesses Romney appears to have, his Republican rivals are even more weaker than Mitt and have not proven themselves that they can defeat Obama.




Monday, March 5, 2012

My Thoughts And Predictions For Super Tuesday

The biggest question for Super Tuesday will be how long Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum will stay in the race.  With  419 delegates at stake for Super Tuesday, both men are looking to stop Mitt Romney's momentum any way they can. It will be a difficult challenge given that Mitt Romney has recently won a string of victories in Maine, Arizona, Michigan, Washington and Wyoming. Additionally, Mitt Romney is far ahead of his competitors when it comes the delegate count. 
Rick Santorum will try stop Mitt Romney in Ohio where 66 delegates are up for grabs. However, winning Ohio will not be easy because his campaign has become very disorganized and he may not be able to get all the delegates in that state. Initially, he lost 9 delegates but may end up losing 9 more delegates which means that he may not get more than one quarter of them. What this means is that he might lose out on 16 of the 66 delegates.  Santorum's problem is compounded by the fact that the delegates he may be losing will probably come from places where he enjoys strong support. To make matters worse, Rick Santorum is currently tied with Mitt Romney in a Reuters/Ipsos poll while Public Policy Polling has Romney ahead in Ohio. 
Ohio isn't the only problem for Rick Santorum.  He's not on the Virginia ballot where 49 delegates are up for grabs. He was initially not on the Indiana ballot but is apparently now on the ballot and may not do well in that state. He's also not doing well in some of the other Super Tuesday states and will most likely come in second and third in these states.
Newt Gingrich is making his last stand in Georgia where it has the largest prize of 76 delegates up for grabs and is hoping to revive his candidacy in his state. Currently, Newt Gingrich is ahead poll in the peach state according to the most recent Mason-Dixon Poll. While Newt Gingrich might win Georgia and steal the delegates away from Mitt Romney, it will not be enough to resuscitate his campaign since he will mostly likely come in third or fourth in the other Super Tuesday states. 
Ron Paul will not win any states on Super Tuesday. If he does, I'll be very surprised. However, in Virginia where just Mitt Romney and Ron Paul are the only candidates on the ballot in that states, Mitt is set to blow Ron Paul out of the water since he is ahead by 40 points. In other Super Tuesday states, Ron Paul will most likely come in third or fourth place. 
Super Tuesday will be an exciting day. Not only is Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum scrambling to keep their campaigns afloat, but they're both focusing on the two states that has the most delegates to win in order to slow down Mitt Romney's rapid collection of delegates. Between these two states, there are 142 delegates at stake which is a third of the total delegates available to win on Super Tuesday. Both of these men, either operating together or independently, are looking to deprive Romney of winning the two big prizes. However, even if Mitt does lose one or both of these states, he will come out ahead on Super Tuesday with more delegates and more victories under his belt. 
Given that Mitt Romney has, so far, won primaries in the North, South, Midwest and the West, he will do very well on Super Tuesday. Its also worth pointing out that up until Super Tuesday, Mitt Romney is the only candidate to win delegates in every state where a contest has been held and delegates have been up for grabs. We also cannot forget the fact that Mitt Romney has been doing very well among conservatives in these primary elections. The fact that there was record turnouts in Michigan and Washington and he won these states. In fact, Mitt Romney did so well among in the Washington caucus  that kinda messes up the media meme that he's not connecting with Republicans. However, the facts prove that he is.
Now that I've publish my thoughts about Super Tuesday, I'd like to make my predictions. Here they are below: 
  1. Alaska (caucus): Mitt Romney will win by a huge margin in that state. It will be a blow out in which he may get as high as 80% of the vote in that state.  
  2. Georgia (primary): This will be the only state Newt Gingrich wins on Super Tuesday. I predict that Mitt Romney will come in second, Santorum third and Ron Paul in last place. 
  3. Idaho (caucus): This state will probably give Mitt Romney the largest support on Super Tuesday in which I think he will get 90% of the vote. Romney is very well liked in that state and there is a large LDS presence in that state.  
  4. Massachusetts (primary):  Mitt Romney will also win the state that he governed from 2003-2007. He's will liked in that state and enjoyed strong support from the Massachusetts Republican Party. Right now,  Suffolk University has a poll from February where Romney is ahead by a huge margin of  64% whereas Santorum had 16% support, with Paul at 7% and Gingrich at just 6%. 
  5. North Dakota (caucus): Mitt Romney will probably win this state by 60% of the vote. 
  6. Ohio (primary) This election could go either way with Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum winning this state. However, Rick Santorum will probably lose this state since he's either tied or behind in the polls. Moreover, the fact that Mitt has momentum from winning 5 elections in a row, Rick Santorum's horrible performance at the Arizona GOP Debate and losing in Michigan and Washington, voters will probably will probably go for Mitt. 
  7. Oklahoma (primary): This will be the only state that Mitt Romney will do horribly in. Santorum has a huge lead over all the other GOP candidatesMitt might come in third place but will probably end up in second place. 
  8. Tennessee (primary): Rick Santorum is barely holding on to this state but he will probably win this state. 
  9. Vermont (primary): Mitt Romney will have another blow out victory in this state with the other candidates will come in at a distant second, third and fourth places. 
  10. Virginia (primary): As I explained above, Mitt Romney will win by a huge margin over Ron Paul and will easily win the 49 delegates up for grabs.
Super Tuesday will be a good night for Mitt. He's looking to win 7 states and I think he'll rack up anywhere between 220 to 240 delegates that day. Moreover, given that he will win by huge margins in a few states, more and more conservatives will unite around Romney in the primary elections after Super Tuesday. 

Saturday, March 3, 2012

Is Rick Santorum The Leader America Is Looking For?

One of the troubling things about Rick Santorum is that he wants people to vote for him because he will be a great leader in the future. For example, when Rick Santorum was criticized for his support for unions in the Senate, he excuses himself for failing to lead because he stood for state's rights in not supporting right to work in Pennslyvania:
"And you need to remember, I was from the state of Pennsylvania. State of Pennsylvania does not have a right to work law. The state legislature and our governor for a long time had rules in place that were inconsistent with right to work. 
"And I wasn't, as United States senator, representing the states of Pennsylvania going to go down and by federal vote change the law on the state. I believe the state has the right. If they want a union dues requirement, that the state should be able to do that."
Its hard for voters to support someone who couldn't be a leader in the past but promises to be a leader in the future when it comes to supporting right to work legislation:
"As a president, I have a very different point of view. I have already signed a letter and sent it to the national right to work that I would sign a national right to work bill because now, I'm no longer representing that state."
Santorum has never wasted an opportunity to remind people that he's a follower and not a leader. 
During the Arizona GOP debate, Rick Santorum defended his endorsement of Arlen Specter by explaining that the George W. Bush Administration instructed Santorum to support him so Arlen Specter could be chairman of the judiciary committee. He offered the same explanation when it came to explaining his support for the controversial No Child Left Behind by stating that that "sometimes you take one for the team." Not surprisingly, Rick Santorum gave the same excuse when explaining his vote for the NCLB. As a result, Mitt Romney wondered what team Rick Santorum was on because he voted for laws he disagreed with but still voted for it to "take one for the team" while calling himself the "outsider" who is capable of leading America.  
Rick Santorum has also failed to demonstrate leadership during this campaign by blaming other people for his problems. Lets look at a few examples. 
When Rick Santorum was criticized some statements about women in the workplace in his 2005 book, "It Takes a Family: Conservatism and the Common Good," he failed to take responsibility for the statements in his book by stating that his wife wrote the offending passage.
After Romney won the 2012 CPAC convention, Rick Santorum whined that Mitt Romney rigged the poll.
When Rick Santorum was unhappy with his own performance at the Arizona GOP Debate, he complained that there was an alliance between Mitt Romney and Ron Paul.  Both Ron Paul and Mitt Romney denied these accusations. Tim Pawlenty stepped in and affirmed that there was no back room deal between these two candidates. These accusations lead many people to believe that Rick Santorum was starting to get desperate.
After Santorum's failure to win the Michigan Primary, he complained that the Michigan GOP changed the rules of the caucus in order to give the remaining two delegates to Mitt Romney. The Michigan GOP denies the allegation.
Most leaders often stick by their controversial statement and decisions. Yet, Rick Santorum is busy retracting his statements. During the Arizona GOP debate, Mitt Romney reminded Rick Santorum that he endorsed him in the 2008 election. After the debate, Santorum publicly retracted his 2008 endorsement of Romney. Rick Santorum called Obama a "snob" for encouraging people to attend college and is now admits that it wasn't a wise thing to call the President a childish name. 
After a video of Rick Santorum emerged showing him making a statement that there was a line in John F. Kennedy's famous address that he gave to the Greater Houston Ministerial Association made him want to throw up, he now wishes that he could take that statement back.
Rick Santorum was not a leader in the past and he hasn't demonstrated any leadership skills in this election. Yet, he promises voters that he will be a great leader in the future. However, many of us are wondering when and if he will lead. People know that if a person fails to lead in the past, its not likely that they'll be able to lead in the future.