Monday, May 23, 2011

Tim Pawlenty Announces He's Officially In For 2012


Today, Tim Pawlenty will be officially in the race for 2012 and he will be making his announcement from Iowa: 
As I predicted before, Tim Pawlenty announcement will be overshadowed by other candidates: It is already happening.
For example, Tim Pawlenty is making his announcement now before Michelle Bachman does because he doesn't want to be eclipsed by her but its already too late. Even though Michelle Bachmann hasn't made any decision about whether or not she will be running in 2012, people are talking about her rather than T-Paw:
U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann, another Minnesota Republican who is exploring a White House run, is believed to be ready to formally announce her candidacy soon, possibly within the next week. Bachmann could be expected to pull well among social conservatives in her native Iowa, overshadowing Pawlenty and complicating his hopes of doing well there. Like Pawlenty, she has been traveling extensively in the Hawkeye State, where she plans to spend Memorial Day weekend before heading to first primary state New Hampshire.
Some people will make a quick mention of his announcement and then move on to talk about other candidates like Jon Hunstman:
Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty makes it official this morning. He’s jumping into the race for the 2012 Republican nomination for president. Not with a third installment of “The Bourne Candidacy” but with three network interviews that will almost assuredly go better than Newt Gingrich’s one disastrous turn on “Meet the Press” last Sunday. But since he’s got a whole week’s worth of I’m-running activities, my focus right now is not on Pawlenty. It’s on Jon Huntsman.
Tim Pawlenty is already getting lost in the news cycle just on the very day he has makes candidacy his candidacy official. That is not very good news for a first tier candidate with very little national name recognition.

U.K. Police Give Obama A Code Name For His Visit To England: Chalaque

President Obama may not like the code name that the British Police has given him while he visits England.
More than one person has wanted to call Barack Obama a 'smart alec', and now British police will get the chance to do so without getting reprimanded.
That's because Scotland Yard has tapped the codename 'Chalaque' to refer to the U.S. president for security reasons during his upcoming state visit to the United Kingdom May 24-26.
Indarjit Singh, a Punjabi speaker in the UK who is director of the Network of Sikh Organisations, told the Sunday Times the word 'is sometimes used when we want to denigrate someone who we think is too clever for their own good'.
Another Punjabi speaker told the paper the word Chalaque is 'not considered rude', but could be 'mildly offensive'.
Some British newspapers are curious why Obama was given this code name:
Scotland Yard insiders told the Sunday Times that their codewords are 'randomly generated by computer', but the paper wondered why officials decided to stick with them, when they could have simply had another word selected that would be less provocative.
Although I'm not a citizen of the United Kingdom, I could think of a few good reasons why he'd get a code name like that. Maybe its because Obama gave the Queen an Ipod as a gift and a book and some other items: 
Diplomatic jaws dropped across the continent yesterday when it was revealed that U.S. President Barack Obama had, once again, fumbled a routine protocal of international statecraft: finding the right gift for a foreign leader or head of state. In a private ceremony with Queen Elizabeth, Her Royal Highness bequeathed to the Obamas one of the earliest known copies of William Shakespeare’s Henry V. She also presented him with the framed orginal sheet music of John Newton’s “Amazing Grace.” To the Obama daughters, the Queen gave a dollhouse-sized replica of Windsor Castle with a functioning train station in the year of the compound. They also received a prize Shetland pony. Mrs. Obama was given a ruby ring commissioned and worn by Queen Victoria.
The Obamas, unfortunately, did not seem prepared for the occasion despite the row set off by the exchange of gifts between Prime Minister Brown and the U.S. President barely a month ago.  Mr. Obama rather unceremoniously handed the Queen a shopping bag from the Duty Free shop at Heathrow airport. It contained a signed paperback copy of Dreams of My Father, purchased at the WH Smith shop at the airport, a bottle of Johnny Walker Scotch (black label), a CD of the Swedish band ABBA’s greatest hits (still in shrink wrap with a 2-for-1 sticker on it) and ten bags of M&Ms with the presidential seal on them.
The Queen responded in a rather flat: “How delightful.”
Perhaps its the fact that Obama gave a few DVDs to Gordon Brown, the former Prime Minister of England: 
Barack Obama, the leader of the world's richest country, gave the Prime Minister a box set of 25 classic American films - a gift about as exciting as a pair of socks.
Mr Brown is not thought to be a film buff, and his reaction to the box set is unknown. But it didn't really compare to the thoughtful presents he had brought along with him. 
The Prime Minister gave Mr Obama an ornamental pen holder made from the timbers of the Victorian anti-slave ship HMS Gannet.
The unique present delighted Mr Obama because oak from the Gannet's sister ship, HMS Resolute, was carved to make a desk that has sat in the Oval Office in the White House since 1880.
Mr Brown also handed over a framed commission for HMS Resolute and a first edition of the seven-volume biography of Churchill by Sir Martin Gilbert.
In addition, Mr Brown and his wife showered gifts on the Obama children giving Sasha and Malia an outfit each from Topshop and six children's books by British authors which are shortly to be published in America.
In return, the Obamas gave the Browns two models of the presidential helicopter, Marine One, to take home to sons Fraser and John.
Or maybe its the fact that Obama sent the bust of Winston Churchill back to England: 
Has America's even- tempered new president already ruffled feathers in the land that spawned Borat and Benny Hill? That's certainly how the spiky British press responded after the White House sent back to the British Embassy a bust of Sir Winston Churchill that had occupied a cherished spot in President Bush's Oval Office. Intended as a symbol of transatlantic solidarity, the bust was a loaner from former British prime minister Tony Blair following the September 11 attacks. A bust of Abraham Lincoln—Obama's historical hero—now sits in its place. A White House spokesperson says the Churchill bust was removed before Obama's inauguration as part of the usual changeover operations, adding that every president puts his own stamp on the Oval Office.
But the British press, as is its wont, smells a snub. The Telegraph speculated that British diplomats' pulse rates would soar, while The Times of London wondered if a shadow had been cast over the special U.S.–U.K. relationship.
Or maybe its because President Obama revealed the national security secrets of England to Russia in order to secure a treaty with Russia: 
A series of classified messages sent to Washington by US negotiators show how information on Britain’s nuclear capability was crucial to securing Russia’s support for the “New START” deal.
Although the treaty was not supposed to have any impact on Britain, the leaked cables show that Russia used the talks to demand more information about the UK’s Trident missiles, which are manufactured and maintained in the US.
Washington lobbied London in 2009 for permission to supply Moscow with detailed data about the performance of UK missiles. The UK refused, but the US agreed to hand over the serial numbers of Trident missiles it transfers to Britain.
For everything Obama has done to England, the British Police must have been holding back on the names they'd really like to call him.

Sunday, May 22, 2011

Sarah Palin Will Probably Not Run In 2012

There a lot of signs indicating that Sarah Palin may not be running in 2012. With Mitch Daniels, Tim Pawlenty, Mike Huckabee, Paul Ryan and other 2012 candidates out of the race, all eyes are on Sarah Palin now. The big question among journalists, commentators, politicians and political junkies is this: will she run or not?
Despite the fact that many people have been speculating for a very long time on whether she will run in 2012 or not, everything appears to indicate she will not be running. There are rumors that she is considering running to become a U.S. Senator to replace Senator Jon Kyl and that those rummors appear to have some credibility since she recently bought a house in Arizona:
Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, a possible 2012 presidential contender, may have purchased a luxury home in north Scottsdale, the Arizona Republic reports.

Safari Investments LLC reportedly paid $1.695 million for the 8,000-square-foot home in what appears to have been a deal on behalf of a secret high-profile buyer.

The purchase comes after talk in some Arizona political circles that Palin was shopping for homes in the Scottsdale area, according to the newspaper. 
Another piece of evidence comes from an e-mail that Sarah Palin's PAC recently sent out to her supporters: 
“Taking back control of the House last year was only the first step,” Palin says in the mailer from SarahPac, sent out nationwide. “Now you and I must fix our eyes on 2012. Our goal is to take back the White House and the Senate.”
The e-mail is clever since she is still trying to keep people guessing about whether or not she will run in 2012. However, the last few words in that e-mail is ambiguous. It could just mean that after taking back the house in a huge landslide, Republicans are ready to continue their sweep of the senate. It could also mean she's gearing up for a run in the Senate. The e-mail shrewdly reveals nothing but it might be a subtle signal that she's shifting her political ambitions away from the White House to the Senate. 
There are other reasons why she probably won't run. Her poll numbers don't look too good for her: 
* The latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll showed her running in fifth place — with 10 percent — in a hypothetical Republican presidential primary race.
* A March Washington Post/ABC News poll showed Palin’s approval rating among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents had dipped below 60 percent — a far cry from her stratospheric near-90 percent approval ratings when she was named John McCain’s running mate in 2008.
* A February Des Moines Register poll of likely Republican voters in Iowa showed Palin’s favorable rating at 65 percent, down from 71 percent in a November 2009 survey. As importantly, those viewing Palin “very favorably” dropped from 27 percent in 2009 to 19 percent in 2011.
Another reason why she will not run in 2012 is because she may not be up for another grueling political campaign: 
She has little appetite for the nitty-gritty hardcore campaigning in Iowa and New Hampshire that the genuinely committed candidates – like Romney, Tim Pawlenty, New Gingrich and Rick Santorum – are already doing and which lasts for months on end. Palin also knows from her own experience how brutal the scrutiny of the media will be for any leading Republican candidate and, perhaps, especially for her. But if she runs, she won't be able to avoid it. The national press will camp out in Wasilla, yet again. She will not want that.
Like Huckabee, she has became rich and famous on the back of the failed 2008 campaign. Books, speeches and TV shows seem to offer a lot of power without any of the tiresome reality of running for office. Especially in a race that looks so hard to win.
Also, if she loses – either the nomination race or against Obama – she will seriously tarnish her credibility. America will forgive many things, but a two-time loser? Not so much. Better to be a might-have-been than a never-was.
There's also one other reason why Sarah Palin may not run: Michelle Bachmann. She has the star power that Sarah Palin has but she doesn't have the kind of baggage that the former governor of Alaska has. Even liberal journalist and commentators think that Bachmann has a real shot at defeating Obama and becoming the first female president of the United States.
I won't be surprised if Palin doesn't run. For those of us who follow her closely, all the signs point to her not jumping in the race. Of course, Palin could surprise us all and run. However, I'm almost positive she's not going to run.

2012 Presidential Election: What Does The Republican Field Look Like Right Now?

The 2012 field has been narrowing down pretty quickly. It used to be that the 2012 field was overflowing with so many potential 2012 candidates. With so many candidates announcing that they are formally in for 2012 and so many people bowing out of the race, its hard to keep track of everyone. 
Here is what the 2012 field looks like right now: 
Announced
Gary Johnson, former governor of New Mexico
Tim Pawlenty, former Minnesota governor 
Herman Cain, businessman 
Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the House
Buddy Roemer, former Governor of Louisiana

Mitt Romney, former Mass. governor

Exploratory Committee formed
Ron Paul, Texas representative
Rick Santorum, former Pa. U.S. Senator
Fred Karger, Gay Rights activist
Roy Moore, former Supreme Court Judge of Alabama

Tentative candidacies
Michele Bachmamn, U.S. Rep, Minnesota
Sarah Palin, former Alaska governor
Rick Perry, Governor of Texas
John Huntsman, former governor of Utah
Rudy Guiliani, former mayor of New York City

Has decided not to run
Donald Trump, real estate magnate
Mike Huckabee, former Arkansas governor
Haley Barbour, current Governor of Mississippi.
Mitch Daniels, Indiana governor
Chris Christie, New Jersey governor
Paul Ryan, U.S. Representative for Wisconsin's 1st congressional district
Mike Pence, U.S. Representative for Indiana's 6th district
John Thune,  U.S. Senator, South Dakota

Jim DeMint,  U.S. Senator, South Carolina

Paul Ryan: I'm Not Running For 2012 Either

It wasn't that long ago that the Republican field was looking quite crowded but now its getting smaller with many potential 2012 candidates choosing not to run. After much speculation and many people attempting to recruit Paul Ryan to run, he's announced he's not going to run in 2012:
In an appearance Sunday’s “Meet the Press” on NBC, Wisconsin Republican Rep. Paul Ryan, the chairman of the House Budget Committee, said he was disappointed in the news.
“Meet the Press” moderator David Gregory asked Ryan if the news about Daniels opened the door for his own presidential aspirations? Ryan said no.
“Well look – I’ve been very clear about this, about running for president,” Ryan said. “I feel because we are in a big budget debate – I’m in a great position as House Budget chairman to weigh in on this debate and I feel like the moment we are in, I want to stay focused on where we are right now and that is getting our fiscal house in order.”
Gregory asked if Ryan would be open to getting in on the ticket as a running mate and the Wisconsin congressman declined to address that possibility.
“I’m not going to get into all those hypotheticals,” Ryan said. “I’m not running for president. I’m not planning on running for president.  If you’re running for president, you got to do a lot of things to line up a candidacy. I’ve not done any of those things. It’s not my plan. My plan is to be a good chairman of the House Budget Committee and fight for the fiscal sanity of this nation.”
Gregory interpreted Ryan’s response as perhaps being a little bit of a door opening, but Ryan disagreed.
“It’s not a door opening,” Ryan said. “I do know how this works. I’m not going to get into all these hypotheticals in the future. My point is I’m not running for president. You never know what opportunities present themselves way down the road. I’m not talking about right now and I want to focus on the fiscal problems of this country. And I really believe David, where I am as chairman of the House Budget Committee puts me in a great position to be a great contributor to this debate.”
Watch the video of Paul Ryan's interview with David Gregory below: 

Paul Ryan has given a pretty firm Sherman statement that he's not running. I'm not surprised by his refusal not to jump into the race. I didn't think he would run at all. I just couldn't see it happening.
He's making a smart move here in not running. Right now, he's in the best position to move the conservative position forward on THE crucial issue of our time: the national debt.
He would be insane to abandon all his hard work he's put into the his "roadmap plan" to reduce the national debt. Ryan is a smart and intelligent politician who is making the right choice here. He's sincere in his desire reduce the national debt. He's doing something that more politicians ought to be doing and that is getting our financial house in order. Instead, we have too many politicians looking for ways to pump up their image and inflate their egos.
In an era where real American heroes are hard to find, Paul Ryan is kind of politician the American people need.

Mitch Daniels: I'm Not Running In 2012

With the 2012 election starting to warm up, the Republican field is starting to get smaller and smaller. Haley Barbour, Donald Trump, and Mike Huckabee have all bowed out from the race. Mich Daniels will be among the men who will not run for 2012. Mitch Daniels made his announcement via an e-mail to his supporters: 
The Daniels email, obtained by POLITICO, went out from Indiana GOP chief Eric Holcomb, a key Daniels adviser, soon after midnight, with the word "Urgent" in the subject line.
"The following is from Governor Mitch Daniels…." the email began.
“I hope this reaches you before the public news does," Daniels wrote. "If so, please respect my confidence for the short time until I can make it known to all."
"The counsel and encouragement I received from important citizens like you caused me to think very deeply about becoming a national candidate. In the end, I was able to resolve every competing consideration but one, but that, the interests and wishes of my family, is the most important consideration of all. If I have disappointed you, I will always be sorry."
Daniels, who had deep fundraising ties from his time in the Bush administration and his own years in Washington, went on: "If you feel that this was a non-courageous or unpatriotic decision, I understand and will not attempt to persuade you otherwise. I only hope that you will accept my sincerity in the judgment I reached," he wrote.
"Many thanks for your help and input during this period of reflection. Please stay in touch if you see ways in which an obscure Midwestern governor might make a constructive contribution to the rebuilding of our economy and our Republic.”
The email, which went to a list of supporters but not the Indiana GOP's broader email list, was unusual —pols who bow out of campaigns rarely choose to announce it just after midnight on a Saturday.
Its no surprise that Mitch Daniels would bow out. He's made plenty of public statements that indicated that he wasn't sure if he wanted to run. He stated that he was not ready to debate Obama on foreign policy yet he thought he could beat Barak Obama. He has also stated that he may not run if he couldn't get the Democratic legislature to close the state session of Congress.
Ultimately, Mich's decision to run or not depended his wife. He wanted to run but he was waiting to see if his wife liked the idea of running. However, it was clear that his wife never liked the idea of enduring a grueling presidential campaign and facing the press who want to ask her marriage. In fact, running for president was a very scary idea for her.
With Mitch Daniels out, it will benefit the top tier Republican 2012 canididates: 
Daniels's decision would seem on the surface to benefit Pawlenty in Iowa, where he's looking to come in with solid numbers in the caucuses, and Huntsman in New Hampshire, where the former Utah governor is expected to play hard if he runs. But it also is ultimately positive for Romney, who is increasingly able to cast himself as a stronger frontrunner; his aides recently reported raising $10 million in a single fundraising "call day" from Nevada.
While other candidates might benefit from Mitch's decision not to run, I think it will most likely benefit Mitt Romney. He's the only candidate who is matching Obama in fundraising right now and can make swing states lean towards voting for a Republican challenger to Barak Obama.
However, with Mitch Daniels out, the pressure is on for other candidates to move out from their exploratory committee to becoming official candidates or to announce whether they will run or not. All eyes will be on Sarah Palin. Some people think she will not run in 2012 and there are rumors that she is considering running to become a U.S. Senator.
Look for a wave of announcements from 2012 Republican candidates to come in the next month or so.

Saturday, May 21, 2011

Herman Cain Formally Annouces He's In For 2012

The 2012 election is slowly heating up as candidates make the transition from exploratory committees to officially becoming candidates for the 2012 Presidential elections. Yesterday, Tim Pawlenty formally announced that he will officially be a candidate for the upcoming presidential election. 
Today, Herman Cain has formally announced that he will also be a candidate for the 2012 election. He's already released a YouTube video that coincides with his announcement which you can watch below:

He also published an op-ed that summarizes his common sense approach to leadership and how he will solve the problems that our country faces. His column,"Solving For X," is about how there are simple formulas that have been established to resolve the problems that our country faces:
Over the course of the last year and a half, I have crisscrossed the country and shared my vision for America. More importantly, I have listened to the concerns of folks all across this land -- from the farmer in Iowa to the retiree in Florida to the student in South Carolina. Throughout my needs assessment tour, I have learned that America faces significant challenges and we are right to demand a return on our investment. We see ourselves as putting so much in, and getting so little out—in the form of widespread joblessness, runaway debt, skyrocketed energy prices and an unclear foreign policy agenda.

But, we remain undaunted. Americans know that “solving for x” simply means using the right formula. What’s that formula, you might ask? Working on the right problems. Asking the right questions. Removing barriers to success. Surrounding yourself with the right people.

This is my “common sense” approach to real leadership. This approach is coupled with a steadfast belief that politics should never compromise principles. And my principles are rooted in the Constitutional guarantees of limited government and individual freedom.

I believe in a strong military and clear foreign policy that ensures the safety of our country. I believe in lower taxes, less regulation and private sector job creation that ensures the economic stability of our country. And I believe in the moral foundation upon which this nation was based and continues to make Her strong, independent and free.
With his common sense approach to politics and leadership, he's not a candidate that you can easily write off. He might be a troublesome candidate for other 2012 contenders like who are looking to win the support of the TEA party movement. Although Sarah Palin and Michelle Bachmann have not decided whether or not they will run in 2012, you can be assured that Herman Cain is a candidate they must be worried about if they decide to run. He is certainly popular with the conservative online community. Moreover, a recent Gallup poll showed that although Herman Cain is not a well known canidate among  while likely GOP primary voters, he was the best-liked among those who knew him. 
Not all conservatives are excited about Herman Cain. Charles Krauthammer thinks that Herman Cain doesn't have a chance to win at all and is merely a candidate who will excite people but that's about it. Watch Krauthammer explain his view below:

As time goes on, we'll see if Charles Krauthammer is right or not about Cain winning the election. However, Cain will definitely will make the 2012 election exciting and interesting. 
With Tim Pawlenty's and Herman Cain's announcements, I think you can expect other 2012 candidates to start making the transition from exploratory committees to officially becoming candidates. Look for a wave of announcements to come in the next month or so.